Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.863092 1.947473 2.034498 2.131162 2.235773 2.345839 2.470753
2025-12-21 1.749490 1.869690 1.998420 2.147314 2.315770 2.501639 2.723901
2025-12-28 1.664972 1.811891 1.974236 2.168616 2.397326 2.660877 2.992091
2026-01-04 1.546721 1.705711 1.885517 2.106533 2.374657 2.694596 3.113650
2026-01-11 1.481739 1.654899 1.855160 2.107762 2.423778 2.814712 3.349876
2026-01-18 1.437987 1.625085 1.846054 2.131756 2.500112 2.972628 3.649896
2026-01-25 1.381308 1.575668 1.809092 2.117018 2.524061 3.062540 3.866108
2026-02-01 1.321553 1.518886 1.759121 2.081310 2.516192 3.106843 4.020057
2026-02-08 1.240784 1.432254 1.667196 1.985346 2.420121 3.020051 3.968030
2026-02-15 1.190898 1.382189 1.619256 1.944260 2.395524 3.031194 4.065118
2026-02-22 1.154828 1.347967 1.589829 1.925747 2.400172 3.083628 4.231583
2026-03-01 1.123782 1.318793 1.565423 1.912261 2.410262 3.143722 4.416278
2026-03-08 1.071584 1.263741 1.508979 1.857874 2.366657 3.131971 4.502528
2026-03-15 1.049698 1.247468 1.503490 1.874474 2.429133 3.292847 4.924835
2026-03-22 1.030074 1.233326 1.500143 1.893879 2.497594 3.472069 5.423115
2026-03-29 0.988249 1.187971 1.452125 1.845795 2.457832 3.465819 5.552802
2026-04-05 0.966273 1.168430 1.438795 1.847739 2.497057 3.600286 6.010201
2026-04-12 0.951644 1.158156 1.437729 1.867593 2.566491 3.797350 6.664889
2026-04-19 0.928222 1.134858 1.417061 1.856172 2.582695 3.897319 7.119052
2026-04-26 0.901143 1.105546 1.386541 1.827734 2.567524 3.934643 7.424163
2026-05-03 0.860933 1.056836 1.326450 1.750430 2.463002 3.784671 7.182622
2026-05-10 0.835780 1.028555 1.295151 1.717201 2.433669 3.784042 7.368530
2026-05-17 0.817293 1.009084 1.275986 1.702211 2.435329 3.846813 7.760480